Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.652478 0.839429 1.050228 1.302667 1.593916 1.916692 2.298710
2025-07-13 0.396158 0.627111 0.922142 1.313470 1.805922 2.392871 3.132873
2025-07-20 0.240337 0.477175 0.820824 1.321723 2.000401 2.857561 3.990988
2025-07-27 0.134339 0.349459 0.708665 1.283844 2.118282 3.226894 4.752413
2025-08-03 0.071731 0.257047 0.617137 1.248918 2.224004 3.577211 5.501891
2025-08-10 0.039290 0.200404 0.564101 1.256519 2.382119 3.999863 6.360795
2025-08-17 0.017438 0.145622 0.492929 1.216114 2.456411 4.302032 7.063362
2025-08-24 0.009448 0.123876 0.481552 1.275374 2.686945 4.835666 8.102009
2025-08-31 0.003660 0.096545 0.445199 1.279121 2.823297 5.232774 8.958401
2025-09-07 0.001744 0.086421 0.449091 1.360939 3.093787 5.839857 10.130732
2025-09-14 0.000567 0.073867 0.440341 1.413839 3.315691 6.378784 11.217225
2025-09-21 0.000075 0.060060 0.420449 1.438276 3.486693 6.842623 12.203827
2025-09-28 NaN 0.042853 0.378130 1.406702 3.557787 7.158710 12.992782
2025-10-05 NaN 0.033513 0.359616 1.427364 3.725977 7.635479 14.034613
2025-10-12 NaN 0.025529 0.339957 1.440923 3.880131 8.093433 15.058070
2025-10-19 NaN 0.016648 0.303746 1.403164 3.930100 8.380278 15.826564
2025-10-26 NaN 0.010342 0.271338 1.367270 3.978702 8.663868 16.594156
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007130 0.255709 1.376001 4.117403 9.102183 17.609330
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003769 0.225881 1.333306 4.143919 9.347640 18.326228
2025-11-16 NaN 0.003073 0.228673 1.396574 4.399951 9.996344 19.689778
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001806 0.214825 1.400651 4.526837 10.422184 20.706720
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001637 0.224206 1.487726 4.840747 11.183756 22.269933
2025-12-07 NaN 0.001229 0.224995 1.543967 5.088123 11.832525 23.661699